Dear Quentin, I’m due to retire in two months and I have already moved to my new home in the sun. I have not sold my apartment in a major US metropolitan area on the east coast, as I wanted to see how I settled into my new life. It’s a quiet, but beautiful city […]
This past week, the S&P 500 index plunged to new relative lows. It is now trading at prices last seen in March 2021. This latest move downward violated support at 4100-4200 and prompted a swift move down toward possible support at 3900. The next support area below that is 3700 – the lows of February […]
Labor costs are driving up inflation. But will inflation also drive more people back to the workforce? The annual rate of inflation slowed to 8.3% in April from 8.5% the previous month, helped by a fall in gasoline prices, but consumers still face rapidly rising costs. The March reading was the highest since 1981. The […]
If you’ve turned on a TV, listened to the radio, or surfed internet news sites recently you’ve almost certainly heard that there is a crisis, and a panic, about inflation. You’ve been told it’s the reason the Federal Reserve is jacking up interest rates. It’s the reason the stock market has been plunging. It’s a […]
A so-called hard landing of the US economy is not going to happen. It’s a false fear. We may have a bumpy landing, but the odds of hard landing — a possible recession — are low for the reasons below. If I am right, it confirms what extremely negative sentiment is already telling us: Stocks […]